Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.033891 0.039528 0.045735 0.053065 0.061475 0.070810 0.081946
2025-08-10 0.024300 0.031333 0.039803 0.050716 0.064357 0.080795 0.102053
2025-08-17 0.018323 0.025817 0.035583 0.049150 0.067400 0.090976 0.123596
2025-08-24 0.014656 0.022346 0.033090 0.049031 0.071882 0.103210 0.149112
2025-08-31 0.011650 0.019101 0.030196 0.047671 0.074189 0.112520 0.171597
2025-09-07 0.010195 0.017822 0.029831 0.049754 0.081511 0.129542 0.206818
2025-09-14 0.008630 0.016036 0.028332 0.049756 0.085508 0.141903 0.236304
2025-09-21 0.007156 0.014105 0.026242 0.048397 0.087012 0.150371 0.260431
2025-09-28 0.006100 0.012706 0.024804 0.047861 0.089683 0.160828 0.288641
2025-10-05 0.005666 0.012389 0.025222 0.050617 0.098301 0.181973 0.336689
2025-10-12 0.005175 0.011866 0.025161 0.052441 0.105394 0.201109 0.383020
2025-10-19 0.004414 0.010637 0.023535 0.051020 0.106235 0.209135 0.410288
2025-10-26 0.003832 0.009704 0.022392 0.050452 0.108752 0.220683 0.445550
2025-11-02 0.003246 0.008647 0.020824 0.048784 0.108874 0.227728 0.473096
2025-11-09 0.002784 0.007792 0.019553 0.047555 0.109715 0.236200 0.504158
2025-11-16 0.002474 0.007249 0.018900 0.047582 0.113177 0.250168 0.547305
2025-11-23 0.002131 0.006549 0.017762 0.046328 0.113676 0.258092 0.578908
2025-11-30 0.002010 0.006428 0.018016 0.048393 0.121838 0.282799 0.647462
2025-12-07 0.001801 0.006014 0.017464 0.048413 0.125283 0.297706 0.696572
2025-12-14 0.001561 0.005456 0.016440 0.047098 0.125403 0.305315 0.730559
2025-12-21 0.001384 0.005052 0.015765 0.046579 0.127376 0.317221 0.775027
2025-12-28 0.001341 0.005068 0.016268 0.049270 0.137630 0.348982 0.866812
2026-01-04 0.001268 0.004972 0.016431 0.051049 0.145761 0.376498 0.951108